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Posterior probabilities of the independence axiom with nonexperimental data (or buckle up and fan out)
Marshall, R. C., Richard, J., & Zarkin, G. A. (1992). Posterior probabilities of the independence axiom with nonexperimental data (or buckle up and fan out). Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 10(1), 31-44. https://doi.org/10.2307/1391801