RTI uses cookies to offer you the best experience online. By clicking “accept” on this website, you opt in and you agree to the use of cookies. If you would like to know more about how RTI uses cookies and how to manage them please view our Privacy Policy here. You can “opt out” or change your mind by visiting: http://optout.aboutads.info/. Click “accept” to agree.
An infectious disease model for estimating the incidence of HIV
Cooley, P., Hamill, D., Christopher, S., & Van Der Horst, CM. (1989). An infectious disease model for estimating the incidence of HIV. Proceedings of the Survey Research Methods Section (ASA), 33-39.
We present an infectious disease model with the following characteristics: • Eight disjoint risk groups that are based on transmission via sexual and intravenous drug use in homosexual men, bisexual men, heterosexual men and women. • Contacts that follow from a homogeneous mixing assumption which takes into account risk group sizes and behavior. • A disease incubation function based on the results of Bachetti and Moss (1989). • No infections associated with hemophiliacs, blood product users, children under 13 years of age, and foreign borns. Simulation experiments were conducted to estimate critical model parameters such as the number of sexual and/or needle sharing contacts needed to explain observed AIDS cases and deaths due to HlV-related illnesses. These estimated parameters were used to make short-term national projections of the incidence of HIV and AIDS.