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Effect of Paxlovid treatment during Acute COVID-19 on long COVID onset
An EHR-based target trial emulation from the N3C and RECOVER consortia
Preiss, A., Bhatia, A., Aragon, L. V., Baratta, J. M., Baskaran, M., Blancero, F., Brannock, M. D., Chew, R. F., Díaz, I., Fitzgerald, M., Kelly, E. P., Zhou, A., Carton, T. W., Chute, C. G., Haendel, M., Moffitt, R., & Pfaff, E. (2024). Effect of Paxlovid treatment during Acute COVID-19 on long COVID onset: An EHR-based target trial emulation from the N3C and RECOVER consortia. medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences. https://doi.org/10.1101/2024.01.20.24301525
Preventing and treating post-acute sequelae of SARS-CoV-2 infection (PASC), commonly known as Long COVID, has become a public health priority. In this study, we examined whether treatment with Paxlovid in the acute phase of COVID-19 helps prevent the onset of PASC. We used electronic health records from the National Covid Cohort Collaborative (N3C) to define a cohort of 426,461 patients who had COVID-19 since April 1, 2022, and were eligible for Paxlovid treatment due to risk for progression to severe COVID-19. We used the target trial emulation (TTE) framework to estimate the effect of Paxlovid treatment on PASC incidence. Our primary outcome measure was a PASC computable phenotype. Secondary outcomes were the onset of novel cognitive, fatigue, and respiratory symptoms in the post-acute period. Paxlovid treatment did not have a significant effect on overall PASC incidence (relative risk [RR] = 0.99, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.96-1.01). However, its effect varied across the cognitive (RR = 0.85, 95% CI 0.79-0.90), fatigue (RR = 0.93, 95% CI 0.89-0.96), and respiratory (RR = 0.99, 95% CI 0.95-1.02) symptom clusters, suggesting that Paxlovid treatment may help prevent post-acute cognitive and fatigue symptoms more than others.